Market

Navigating the shifting currents

Written by Gabriella Vagnini


As of this month, several main developments are shaping the import/export in the recycled metals industry affected by both logistical hurdles and wider economic factors.

  1. Steady But Wary Market– The U.S. recycled metals market looks steady in August, hinting at a balanced outlook. Market players agree on where the market is heading, with sellers feeling a bit more upbeat. Despite this steadiness, supply is low, and the market is careful because of possible global economic shocks. The tight supply and balanced demand have kept big price swings at bay, with a tiny rise of about 0.6% in scrap prices.
  2. How Export Markets Affect Scrap Prices– Export markets have a big influence on scrap prices in areas like the East and Gulf Coasts of the U.S. Take heavy melting steel (HMS) as an example. Its prices have gone up because countries like Turkey want more of it. This increase has helped keep the U.S. scrap market from falling even though U.S. steel mills aren’t buying as much.
  3. Changing Global Supply and Demand– Around the world, steel scrap supply can’t keep pace with growing demand. The move to electric arc furnace (EAF) steelmaking, which depends a lot on recycled scrap, is pushing this demand. Experts predict that by 2030, scrap will make up 50% of the global iron content in steel, a jump from 35% now. This change, along with higher demand from big steel-making countries like China and the U.S., will turn the current global scrap surplus into a big shortage.
  4. Logistical Challenges– Logistics play a key role in the recycled metals industry. Weather affects how materials move to shredders and scrap processors in the Northeast and Ohio Valley. This causes price changes as processors adjust to keep a steady flow of material. Also, stronger pig iron markets in Brazil, shape scrap prices and supply. You can read more on the pig market iron in our article- Alternative metals market- Q4 showdown looms

Conclusion:

The metal scrap industry faces a mix of steady markets growing global demand, and supply issues. Exports offer vital support, but the industry could still suffer from global problems and supply chain limits. Looking ahead, scrap suppliers and lawmakers have to adjust to these changing conditions to keep the industry strong.

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