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Final Thoughts

U.S. Ferrous scrap market settles sideways in November

Written by Stephen Miller


It took a while but the U.S. scrap market for November has largely settled. We could characterize this settlement as perhaps “soft sideways,” as most districts were content with sideways pricing for November. However, one large buyer was attempting to buy at down $20/gt. This attempt, as predicted previously by RMU, was met with dealer resistance, given that the vast majority of other mills went sideways. However, in a few districts in the South, prime grades settled at down $10/gt. But, in general prices were sideways to down $5-10/gt in most regions.

You would think, with the steelmaking industry largely supporting President Trump in last week’s election, they would have a more positive attitude. Most other industries received a “Trump Bump,” but I guess ferrous scrap doesn’t fit into the equation. Maybe, HRC doesn’t either. Those commodities are still weak and most players with whom I have spoken don’t know what is going to make these sectors better. Maybe more tariffs? We’ll have to wait and cross our fingers.

Back to the ferrous market, the scenario that is now playing out is drifting into a December and January market which will exhibit a rebound in all scrap prices. I know demand is tepid overall. However, after scrap dealers had to fight off an attempt to drop prices in November and for the most part, were successful, does anyone think they are going to sell sideways or down in the coming months? Just look at the history of December and January scrap pricing.

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